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Release date:2025-08-19 Number of views:18 Amount of downloads:13 DOI:10.19457/j.1001-2095.dqcd25932
Abstract:A K-means clustering algorithm was proposed and a conditional Wasserstein generative adversarial
network with gradient penalty(CWGAN-GP)to address the problem of imbalanced photovoltaic generation data
caused by the low occurrence probability of extreme weather. A prediction approach combining bidirectional long
short-term memory(BFLSTM)with convolutional neural network was introduced and incorporating channel
attention mechanism to enhance the PV power prediction performance by integrating spatio-temporal features and
dynamically adjusting the importance of feature channels. Firstly,correlation analysis and K-means algorithm were
utilized to select and label various environmental factors. Then,extreme weather labels with fewer samples after
clustering were selected,and CWGAN-GP was used for data augmentation.Finally,the augmented dataset was used to train the CNN-SE-BiLSTMpredictionmodel for PVpower prediction under extreme weather conditions.Simulation modeling was conducted using data from a certain PV power station,and the results demonstrate that augmenting the original extreme weather training set with CGAN-GP helps improve the prediction accuracy of the model. Moreover,CNN-SE-BiLSTM shows higher prediction accuracy among five weather categories compared to other traditional models,indicating that the proposed method is suitable for ultra-short-term photovoltaic power prediction.
Key words:photovoltaic power prediction;extreme weather generation;bidirectional long short-term memory(BiLSTM);conditional Wasserstein generative adversarial network with gradient penalty(CWGAN-GP);K-means clustering algorithm
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