Manuscript details
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Release date:2022-08-22 Number of views:2576 Amount of downloads:1344 DOI:10.19457/j.1001-2095.dqcd23021
Abstract: Traditional point prediction is difficult to analyze the randomness and uncertainty of wind power
inadequately. Aiming at the shortcomings of point prediction,an interval prediction model based on improved
whale optimization algorithm and fast learning network(IWOA-FLN)was proposed. Firstly,the convergence
speed and accuracy of IWOA was enhanced by adjusting the convergence factor,adding adaptive inertia weight and chaos search strategy. Secondly,a new evaluation index was proposed according to the lower and upper bound estimation method. Finally,the new evaluation index was taken as fitness function,the FLN parameters were optimized by improved whale optimization algorithm to output final prediction interval. Actual examples show that the method could be employed to improve the interval coverage,and reduce the interval bandwidth,which has strong practical significance.
Key words: whale optimization algorithm(WOA);fast learning network(FLN);wind power;interval
prediction
Classification
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